The answer to the question of what impact NIL deals will have on college recruitment appears to be essentially “little” or “no impact” for most recruits.

Adding a year of eligibility to any athlete in college at the time of the pandemic has meant that now 5 years worth of athletes are seeking roster spots for 4 years worth of remaining eligibility. In other words there is a log jam of nearly 20% more eligible student-athletes for fewer spots and fewer available scholarship dollars than we have ever seen in the past two decades.